Twins vs. Blue Jays Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread - AL Wild Card Game 1

Tuesday's game features the Minnesota Twins (87-75) and the Toronto Blue Jays (89-73) clashing at Target Field in what is expected to be a close matchup, with a projected 5-4 victory for the Twins according to our computer prediction. First pitch is at 4:38 PM ET on October 3.

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Twins will send Pablo Lopez (11-8) to the mound, while Kevin Gausman (12-9) will answer the bell for the Blue Jays.

Twins vs. Blue Jays Game Info & Odds

• When: Tuesday, October 3, 2023 at 4:38 PM ET
• Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• How to Watch on TV: ESPN
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!

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Twins vs. Blue Jays Score Prediction

Our prediction for this contest is Twins 5, Blue Jays 4.

Total Prediction for Twins vs. Blue Jays

• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

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Twins Performance Insights

• The Twins have played as the favorite in nine of their past 10 games and won six of those contests.
• In its last 10 games with a total, Minnesota and its opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
• Sportsbooks have not set a spread for any of the Twins' last 10 games.
• This season, the Twins have won 67 out of the 111 games, or 60.4%, in which they've been favored.
• Minnesota has entered 111 games this season favored by -115 or more and is 67-44 in those contests.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 53.5% chance of a victory for the Twins.
• Minnesota has scored 778 runs this season, which ranks 10th in MLB.
• The Twins have a 3.87 team ERA that ranks fifth across all league pitching staffs.

Blue Jays Performance Insights

• In four games as the underdog over the last 10 matchups, the Blue Jays have a record of 2-2.
• In its last 10 games with an over/under, Toronto and its opponents have combined to eclipse the total seven times.
• The previous 10 Blue Jays games have not had a spread set by oddsmakers.
• The Blue Jays have been chosen as underdogs in 40 games this year and have walked away with the win 22 times (55%) in those games.
• This season, Toronto has been victorious 13 times in 25 chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Blue Jays have a 51.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Toronto scores the 14th-most runs in baseball (746 total, 4.6 per game).
• The Blue Jays have the fourth-best ERA (3.82) in the majors this season.

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Twins Schedule

Blue Jays Schedule